Mr. Bayes and the classics: a suggested interpretation
نویسندگان
چکیده
The main hypothesis about Thomas Bayes’s intentions to write his famous {\it Essay} on probability is that he wanted refute the arguments of David Hume against reliability occurrence miracles, published in 1748. In this paper we argue it was not intention rebut but interest ``inverse problem'' came as result study second edition Abraham De Moivre’s book, Doctrine Chances}, 1738. A possible communication breakthrough might have annoyed Moivre, leading a response written for Bayes third 1756. Among other points, claims Moivre first solve mentioned inverse problem. Under perspective Richard Price’s letter, preface essay, has new interpretation, appearing also defense premiership satisfactory or proper solution.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Revista brasileira de história da matemática
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2675-7079', '1519-955X']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.47976/rbhm2022v22n4301-16